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Joined 15 days ago
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Cake day: April 10th, 2025

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  • I’ve not been religious for a long time now, but I don’t know how else to phrase this:

    I pray that one day I can put that knowledge toward just having a pet bunny.

    … That would be nice.

    Do… if you keep a bunbun as a pet, do they do better alone, or are they social enough that they need a buddy… or would two buddies in something like an apartment lead to fights?

    … Can you potty train a rabbit like a cat, and let it roam around, or will it just relieve itself whereever?



  • I mean, will they eat each other if you can’t feed em for a while?

    … I realize that is quite a grizzly thing to ask, and I don’t mean to be as flippant as the first comment…

    But that would be a useful thing to know if you’re desperate enough to start a rabbit breeding pen for food, and you also have no idea what feed prices/availability will be.



  • A nearly 50% drop in booked global TEUs?

    TEU means Twenty Foot Equivalent Units, your basic standard shipping container.

    Yes, yes, this is astoundingly, apocalyptically bad.

    America will be more fucked than others, but this is Great Depression 2.0.

    If this persists, and you end up with a the rest of the year of roughly half the TEU… well you’d go from about 900m TEU to about 550m TEU.

    The last time global sea trade clocked in at about 550m TEU was 2010.

    https://transportgeography.org/contents/chapter5/intermodal-transportation-containerization/world-container-throughput/

    So… yeah, just wipe out the last 15 years worth of volume of world trade, and economic activity/growth enabled by that, and oh also you have about 1 billion more mouths to feed than in 2010.

    Or… if you look at it in terms of % change… its hard to find detailed, historical, week by week figures without paying for the data, but the entirety of the GFC hitting the global economy in 2009 resulted in an 8.5% decrease in global TEU from 2008.

    So… it remains to be seen how long and strong the current downturn in TEU will persist…

    But, if you say 2025 TEU drops by 30% in aggregate for the rest of this year… that is a 2025 that has a -22.5% ‘growth’ in total world trade volume, almost 3x as bad as the 07 08 09 GFC, the impact of which was seen in the -8.5% of 2009.

    These are spitball guess numbers, I can’t predict the future… but I do have a degree in Econ and I used to work as an executive level data analyst for a large mulinational, US based import export firm… so its moderately informed spitball guess.

    This is Great Depression 2.0, this will make the GFC look like childs play. This is tens or hundreds of millions of people (globally) going broke, becoming homeless, starving to death levels of bad.

    The only way to prevent that at this point is … well basically step one is America needs to impeach and imprison every Trump administration member… but that is uh… not guaranteed, to say the least.



  • To clarify:

    Though the group currently calling itself Anonymous that just published all this … derives the aesthetics and what not from stuff that arose on 4chan in the mid/late 00s…

    They almost certainly have nothing to do with 4chan going down.

    4chan was taken down by a group of people that used to post on a 4chan subboard, which was removed… and then they started their own community ‘Soyjack Party’.

    Which, ironically, is a very similar story as to why 4chan even exists: m00t used to post hentai and loli on SomethingAwful, and then that subboard got shut down, m00t and other frequent posters there got banned, and then they made 4chan.

    Like… I stopped using 4chan almost two decades ago now, when m00t made a big announcement post, which later disappeared, stating that as a result of increased media scrutiny and a number of high profile crimes that were connected back to 4chan posts… well m00t said that he was cooperating with the authorities.

    I can’t prove this, because … two decades ago, and the announcement was only up for … less than 24hrs… but yeah, as the SoyJack Party hack of 4chan has confirmed, it was obvious that 4chan was/is a shitshow joke of an operation held together by ducttape and fishing lines.

    For fucks sake, their versions of PHP and MySQL were like 12 years out of date and had numerous, extensively well documented security flaws.





  • … Meanwhile, the bond markets are continuing to freak the fuck out, and the yield curve has now inverted and univerted three times before an actual ‘official’ recession has begun.

    For those that don’t know, a yield curve inversion is when short term bonds offer a higher yield (interest rate) than long term bonds.

    That… it not how that is supposed to work.

    Generally speaking, a longer term bond should be riskier due to the amount of things that can possibly go wrong in that longer amount of time, as compared to a shorter term bond that pays itself back in less time, with less time for unforseen nonsense to happen.

    Every single US official recession in the last … 50, 100 years? has occured after first, the yield curve inverts, then it uninverts, and then an ‘official’ recession follows quite rapidly.

    …Except fucking now.

    Now we are in a situation where the yield curve has inverted then uninverted three fucking times without an ‘official’ recession actually starting.

    This is unprecedented.

    As of right now, the 6 month T Bill and the 5 year T Bond have roughly the same yield, and everything in between has a lower yield, the lowest point being the 2 yr.

    … Its supposed to be basically a line going upward on the y axis of yields, as you move rightward on the x axis from shorter to longer term debt/bonds.

    The bond market right now is more or less saying we are gonna be in for 2 years minimum of economic decline.