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Cake day: July 22nd, 2024

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  • Israel is violating other countries sovereignty and their rights as an entire people, in particular other people. This is different from the question of individual rights such as the right to freedom of speech or the abolition of the death penalty. The Iranian or Saudi regime sentencing dissenters to death is something that ultimately the Iranian and Saudi people have to resolve. Foreign interference is not going to resolve it. Obviously that means that military weapons, police equipment or the like must not be given to countries such as Iran and Saudi Arabia.

    Israel on the other hand is illegally occupying Palestinian territories, subjugating the entire Palestinian people as a people to ethnic cleansing and genocide, waging multiple wars of aggression at the same time and murdering people outside its recognized territories. This warrants an intervention on the level between states.




  • I believe “doing the right thing” always helps in the long run. A principled society has something to strive and fight for. The past 40 years of Neoliberalism has eroded that core fabric of society, placating the notion one should only strive for oneselve. And that lack of unifying principle is being abused by the Fascists and short-of-fascist far-right to fill the void with a twisted nationalism.

    I’d argue that the US never was center of a rules based international order. It was just the selective enforcer of some of it, but only tied to its own immediate interests. The EU needs to emancipate itself from the US either way. Doing so on a serious striving for a rules based international order could make the EU diplomatically relevant and an unifying force in the world.

    If countries like Qatar, with a few million people can be a serious diplomatic force in the Middle East, there is no reason why the EU shouldn’t be able to reach that on the world stage without the US. Stepping out of the shadow of the US would make it easier for the EU to be taken serious diplomatically, as so far most countries know that there is little point talking with EU countries, if Washington is calling the shots.


  • The EU is not only harming the people in Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, Iraq and Iran with this atrocious complicity in Israeli crimes.

    The EU is also harming Ukraine and helping Russia, by undermining itself as a legal, leave alone moral authority, while making it easy for regimes like Putin to always just point the finger back and call out the lies and hypocrisy.

    Furthermore it is harming the EU citizens massively, as the EU is abandoning the former strategy of attempting a rules based international order in favor of an order, where no crime is prohibited as long as it serves the states interests. The crimes abroad are already internalized more and more, where freedom of speech, the right to protest and freedom of science and culture are more and more repressed to serve the loyalty to Israel and continued support for Israeli crimes.

    Especially the Netherlands recently reached a shameful new low as evidence of Maccabi Tel Aviv hooligans rampaging through the streets of Amsterdam has “disappeared” and charges were dropped. The Netherlands allowed thugs to come down on their city, beat up their citizens and destroy their property, now getting away with impunity.








  • I think you don’t understand the thermodynamics well. The evaporating water cools the air. That is the entire purpose. The air gets more wet, but at the same time it gets colder.

    Assuming a stationary system state, you have a constant airflow of hot dry air going into the system and a constant airflow of colder more wet air leaving the system. Depending on how fast the one flows in and the other flows out, you will reach a certain point along the vertical absolute water concentration axis, which will define how wet and how cold the air inside the system is. But the more wet the air is, the more cold it also is.

    I think you wrongly assume that this spraying happens in a system like a closed greenhouse or a sauna, where the wet air doesn’t escape while the heat keeps coming in. But that is not what is happening with these sprayers at all. The wet air escapes easily. Even if there is no airflow by itself the colder more wet air of course is heavier and sinks to the ground, so an air flow is created.


  • It doesn’t matter. Whether you sweat mostly water and it evaporates or water is evaporated to cool down the air around you, it is functionally the same in terms of the possibility of removing heat from your body. However taking external water has the benefit of not requiring your own water, helping you to dry out slower.

    Lets take the 40°C 30% humidity example. If you go down vertically you end up with saturation at around 19°C. That is still quite fresh. If you take the 50% humidity at 40°C it will saturate at 27°C. Not nice, but still bearable. Anything in between on the vertical lines, so with the amount of water in that air being constant will just result in the same. The cooler it is the more humid it is, but the less humid it is, the better your own sweating can cool you.


  • A weaker US will probably bring more stability.

    If we have a few, not too many, but a few power poles in the world, these powers will likely work to keep each other at bay. The US got completely unhinged after the fall of the Soviet Union. There was no one who could stop them after all. This lead to millions of people murdered by the US and its clients in the past 35 years. Bill Clinton’s presidency alone killed about half a million Iraqi kids through sanctions on food and medicine for Iraq in the 90s, ironically after the US, Germany and other western countries had been major factors in building Saddam’s chemical weapons and using them against the Kurdish minority and Iran. Then came the Iraq and Afghanistan invasions, again killing hundreds of thousands maybe up to a million of people. Libya tossed into chaos, Yemen as a genocidal campaign that the Saudis couldn’t have pulled off without US weapons, intelligence and assistance, killing hundreds of thousands again…

    US “liberal hegemony” has been the deadliest ideology in the world after Mao has died


  • Can? Yes. However article 5 only demands countries to bring what they believe is necessary to defend the country that invoked article 5. So if the US sends a firefighting truck and the crew to man it, they could claim to have done enough.

    Also for the Iraq invasion, it was easy and there was little to no doubt that the “coalition of the willing” among them Poland and other NATO members, would roll in on the back of the US. Poland got itself access to some Iraqi oilfields it could exploit. That was more like a viking raid on a village whose guard is just the local farmer youth.

    I think when it comes to the current situation many countries are reluctant to put NATO to the test, as they are scared for NATO to be revealed to be divided and weak.







  • The Suez channel is even more crucial to Israel than it is to countries like Spain or France for their link to East Asia.

    I have measured a rough example in maps:

    If a ship from Singapore to Marseille would go through the Suez Channel, it would be about 13,000 km without stops. Around Africa that would be around 22,000 km without stops (yeah i know that is optimistic), so a 70% increase which undoubtedly is bad.

    Now a ship from Singapore to Haifa would have its route increase from about 9,500 km to about 25,000 km, (again without stops) which is about a 170% increase.

    If the Houthis manage to effectively cut off that route, it will be driving prices up like crazy for Israel. If on top of it countries like Spain close the ports for ships carrying freight to Israel, it will further drive up their costs.


  • There can be various purposes to a ceasefire.

    • The most direct one is that a ceasefire gives a space in which diplomatic options can be discussed as both sides believe that there could be an opening where they gain more than with continued fighting.
    • The other direct option is that both sides believe that they can achieve a temporary ceasefire to rearm/regroup for subsequent fighting, believing that they can do so better than the enemy.
    • There could be external or internal political pressure to attempt diplomatic options, which will subsequently be derailed
    • There could be humanitarian reasons, albeit that seems to not be relevant these days, with humanitarian reasons being given as pretense at best
    • There could be religious reasons, such as the observation of a shared holiday, albeit that also seems to not be relevant these days

    For Ukraine as it stands there is little reason to believe that Ukraine will be able to retake their territory fully, unless the support from the West would come in the shape of boots on the ground and massive amounts of arms. As for Russia it seems Russia is slowly gaining territory while incurring high losses and taking very bad economic hits at home. So there could come a point of collapse of the Russian army. From Ukraines perspective however, unless that happens, if Russia gets weaker, they could always retreat to a reinforced line and take the gains they have made.

    Accepting defeat probably will not be taken lightly and will be the certain end to Zelensky’s rule, so i don’t think he’s to enthusiastic about a ceasefire. But it also seems that the Western Allies, in particular the US are not willing to give Ukraine what it takes and rather see an end to the war, with the EU countries probably following the US in trying to recoup some of the military spending by buying up Ukraine at a discount.

    For Putin on the other hand it is questionable, if he can sell the current state as a “victory” that justifies the losses. I guess for Russia to agree to a long term ceasefire they would demand to keep the current territories and be immediately relieved of sanctions.